主题:The Carry Trade and
Uncovered Interest Parity when Markets are Incomplete(市场不完备情况下的息差交易和非抛补利率平价)
主讲人:Lorenzo Garlappi,不列颠哥伦比亚大学尚德商学院副教授
日期:2017年6月21日(周三)
时间:上午10:00-11:30
地点:清华五道口欧洲杯外围竞猜_欧洲杯盘口-投注|官网学院4号楼101教室
语言:英文
摘要:
Many of
the leading models of the carry trade imply that, contrary to the empirical
evidence, a country's currency depreciates in times of high consumption and
output growth, a manifestation of the Backus and Smith (1993) puzzle. We
propose a modification of these models to account for financial market
incompleteness and show that such a modification can induce positive
correlation between currency appreciation and consumption or output growth
while, at the same time, helping resolve the Backus and Smith (1993) and
Brandt, Cochrane, and Santa-Clara (2006) puzzles. Furthermore, in many of the
existing models, the assumed fundamental cross-country differences (output
volatility, growth, and risk attitude) responsible for interest rate
differentials also appear at odds with the data. We document that default risk
and financial openness are strongly related to interest rate differentials and
carry trade profits in the data. The incomplete markets model we propose is
consistent with these novel empirical facts.
主讲人简介:
Lorenzo Garlappi is currently Associate Professor at Sauder School of Business, University of British Columbia. He received a Ph.D. in Finance from University of British Columbia in 2001. Dr. Garlappi teaches Asset Pricing Theory for Ph.D, and he also teaches Investments and Financial Risk Management for undergraduate and MBA students. His research interest includes Asset Pricing, Credit Risk and Real Options, Portfolio Choice and Asset Allocation. He has articles published in the Review of Financial Studies, the Journal of Financial Economics, the Journal of Finance, and Management Science among others.